Christmas Census Feeder Birds in Western New York (This column was published on February 10, 1997.) Florence Florkowski of Buffalo writes: "For the past two years I have noticed that the birds take advantage of my feeder less and less. In earlier years I was not able to keep up buying enough bird seed. This year is remarkably different. Previously the seed was gone from the bird feeder within two days and now it takes two to three weeks or more." This most recent letter of concern about declining feeder bird populations arrived on the same day as the last of the nine western New York Christmas Bird Count reports. I have been telling correspondents that individual feeders do not necessarily reflect population trends; that, for example, so many people are feeding them that the birds have wider choice. But now I could look at counts recorded over seven years to see if Ms. Florkowski's experience relates to regional population changes. Mea culpa. Clearly my correspondents' experience is closer to the mark than I had expected. Feeder bird numbers are indeed down significantly. A check of the records for the 28 most common native species that appear at -- or around -- feeders shows an overall decline of more than a quarter of their numbers. Only three species -- jays, juncos and brown creepers -- are more plentiful. Some of the population declines are dramatic. Evening grosbeak numbers decreased from a seven year average of 978 to 21 this winter. In 1991, almost 2600 were recorded. It has been so long since these zealous seed gobblers have been numerous that some of you new to bird feeding may never have seen one of these handsome birds. Redpolls are down from 472 to 16, red-winged blackbirds from 48 to 2, Carolina wrens from 19 to 2 and pine siskins from 56 to none. Birders classify three types of feeder visitors: species that live here year around, those that retreat to this area from Canada for the winter and those that have extended their ranges into the region from the South. There is, however, overlap among these groups. For example, the southern birds have joined our permanent residents and many of our chickadees and blue jays migrate. The 22 species I consider local residents reflect the overall downward trend; their numbers are also off a quarter. But as should be expected after the harsh winter of 1995-96 and this year's early cold, southern species are reduced even more. These five -- cardinal, tufted titmouse, mockingbird, red-bellied woodpecker and Carolina wren -- are down 41 percent. There was a similar drop after the winters of 1977 and 1978. Despite the availability of feeders, many of these birds cannot survive long periods of snow and cold. You would think that such extreme weather would drive more birds into our area from farther north, but that has not happened. The increase in junco numbers is overwhelmed by the declines in other northern visitors -- tree and white-throated sparrows, evening grosbeak, redpoll and pine siskin. Together their population is down 29 percent. The dynamics for the latter three species are quite different. Much hardier, they easily withstand the inclement winter weather of the far North. What causes their periodic irruptions is lack of food -- a poor Canadian cone crop -- or overpopulation after a highly successful breeding season the previous summer. Last autumn early arriving snowy owls and snow buntings and a longspur in mid-October seemed to predict a big year locally for northern species. That never materialized and irruptive species are down 98 percent this winter. So the concerns of Ms. Florkowski, Mrs. O'Keefe and others are supported by the evidence. Let's hope it represents a bad year and not a longer term trend.